Muji dadin wayoyinmu kafin a samu dasa kwakwalwa. Tsayayyen wayo

A baya can, mun canza wayoyinmu a matsakaici kowace shekara da rabi. A yau, yawanci sau ɗaya a kowace shekara uku. Masana da ke magana a kan hakan, ya danganta da irin halayensu, ko dai rashin yin kirkire-kirkire ne na tsawon shekaru da dama, ko kuma yadda wayoyin suka yi kyau ta yadda babu wani dalili na maye gurbinsu.

Mun kasance kawai wayar hannuwanda wani lokaci yana ɗaukar hotuna (mara kyau), wani lokacin yana ba ku damar sauraron kiɗa. wanda ya zama cibiyar umarni mai ɗaukar hoto. kuma masana'antun sun yi gasa akan ra'ayoyin don sabbin abubuwa, aikace-aikace, na'urori da karrarawa da busa.

Don haka mun zo tsakiyar shekaru goma na biyu na karni na 2015, lokacin da hauka ya ƙare. An buga sannan, a cikin XNUMX. Rahoton Gartner bar shakka cewa bukatar sababbin na'urorin hannu rage. Hatta kasuwar kasar Sin, inda kusan kashi 30 cikin dari suka wuce. na duk wayoyin salula na zamani da ake sayar da su a duniya sun tsaya cak. Akwai ƙananan dalilai na maye gurbin wayoyin hannu kowace shekara.

Gartner data A cikin abin da ake la'akari da shekarar nasara, 2015, an yi hasashen cewa kasuwar wayoyin hannu za ta fuskanci tsangwama a cikin shekaru masu zuwa. Shelf ɗin tsakiyar matakin zai kasance a wurin, kuma mafi arha da mafi tsada kawai na'urori ne kawai za a faɗaɗa. Koyaya, taƙaitaccen bayanin YouGov a bara ya nuna akasin haka. Siyar da kyamarorin da suka fi tsada sun ragu sosai, yayin da tallace-tallacen kyamarori masu tsaka-tsaki ya karu (1). Girma ne kawai ya cika tsammanin Sakamakon tallace-tallacen waya mai rahusa.

1. Rage shaharar wayoyi masu daraja.

Annobar ta zama bala'i ga kasuwa. Gartner wanda aka riga aka nakalto ya ruwaito wannan. raguwar tallace-tallacen wayoyin hannu na duniya da kashi 20 cikin 2020 a kwata na biyu na 295 zuwa raka'a miliyan 7. Kamfanoni mafi girma sun sami raguwar tallace-tallace. Ƙarin Samsung - da kwata, Huawei - da kusan kashi 2020. Apple kashi ne na kashi dari, amma kuma a ragi. Daga cikin kattai na duniya, Xiaomi kawai ya girma. Gabaɗaya, 1,3 ya ƙare da sayar da wayoyi sama da biliyan 2019, wanda shine babban koma baya daga shekarar 1,5, lokacin da aka siyar da jimillar na'urori biliyan XNUMX.

Rashin tabbas na tattalin arziki da rikicin yana kawo cikas ga sayayya da saka hannun jari, amma manazarta suna magana game da farfadowa a cikin 2021 da siyan na'urori waɗanda ke goyan bayan sabon ƙa'idar. Dangane da hasashen Gartner na Fabrairu 2021, tallace-tallacen wayoyin hannu na duniya don kawo ƙarshen masu amfani zai iya kaiwa kusan raka'a biliyan 1,5 a ƙarshen wannan shekara. Wannan zai nuna karuwar kusan kashi 11,4 cikin ɗari. idan aka kwatanta da bara da komawa zuwa matakan 2019. Wato hakika an sami karuwa idan aka kwatanta da 2020, amma gabaɗaya kawai komawa zuwa matakin da ba a taɓa gani ba ne wanda ake iya gani a kididdigar tallace-tallacen wayoyin hannu na kusan shekaru biyar (2).

2. Adadin wayoyin hannu da ake sayarwa duk shekara ga masu amfani daga 2007 zuwa 2021 (miliyoyin)

Ƙara gigabytes da megapixels

Shekaru da yawa muna neman hanyar shawo kan matsalar smartphone stagnation. Shahararriyar hanyar farfadowa na shekaru masu yawa shine kawai ƙara ƙarin abubuwa masu ƙarfi. Mun zo ne don amfani da na'urori masu sarrafa octa-core 5nm a cikin wayoyi kamar Snapdragon 800, Apple A14, Samsung Exynos 2100, HiSilicon's Kirin 9000, wanda ba wai kawai yana tallafawa cibiyar sadarwar 3,13G ba amma kuma yana da saurin agogo tare da Kirin XNUMX. GHz tana kan gaba, bai fi na kwamfutar tafi-da-gidanka mafi muni ba.

Mafi ƙarfi shine 16 GB na RAM. Kamara a cikin sel sun shiga filin rikodin bidiyo na 8K kuma masana'antun ba su daina bin adadin ƙarin megapixels na ƙuduri ba, kodayake suna yin hakan akan ƙaramin ma'auni, suna ƙara ƙarin ruwan tabarau, faɗin kusurwa, macro, kyamarori huɗu, bakwai ko ma fiye da kowace na'ura. . A bara, an buga cikakken rahoto game da wannan batu a cikin MT.

Duk da wannan abin ban mamaki, mutane da yawa sun ce ba haka lamarin yake ba. ci gaban wayar salula ya tsaya kuma yanzu ya zo ne kawai ga bambance-bambancen kwaskwarima tsakanin tsararraki. A wani matakin, matsakaita mai amfani yana daina lura da bambanci tsakanin na'urori masu inganci, kuma idon ɗan adam ba zai iya bambance ƙuduri sama da 8K ba. Abun da ke farfado da fasahar wayar salula da kasuwa shine kuma tabbas zai zama bayyanar hanyar sadarwar 5G. Koyaya, wannan ƙwaƙƙwaran ɗan waje ne ga fasahar wayoyi. Ba za a iya kiran wannan tsalle-tsalle na fasaha a cikin wayoyin komai da ruwanka ba, sai dai a daidaita su zuwa sabbin hanyoyin sadarwa.

Shekaru, mun ga hangen nesa masu ƙarfafawa da sanarwar na'urori masu sassauƙa, masu lanƙwasa (3) waɗanda ke lanƙwasa kuma sun wuce tsayayyen ƙira na allon na'urar. Shi ne jagora a cikin wannan Samsungwanda ya samar da shi kusan shekaru biyu da suka wuce Model na Galaxy Fold gwadawa. Ya zama mummunan tashin hankali tare da lahani mai ban haushi, tsagewa da lalata akan allon wayar hannu, kamar yadda 'yan jarida da masu rubutun ra'ayin yanar gizo suka ruwaito wadanda suka gwada na'urar. A ƙarshe, kamfanin ya kammala na'urar kuma za ku iya siya ta kullum, amma ba za ku iya jin yadda yake cin nasara a kasuwa ba.

Zamu iya magana game da ra'ayoyi guda biyu don haɓaka yankin nuni. Wasu daga cikinsu suna ninka kuma suna ninka kamar allon Samsung. Na biyu shi ne zazzage allo zuwa wani tsari mai kama da harsashi, kamar yadda Motorola ke yi da sabbin nau'ikan wayar Razr.

OPPO na kasar Sin amma na yanke shawarar ci gaba da yin wani sabon abu OPPO X 2021 model yana ƙara motar da ke motsa ganga don faɗaɗa da kuma faɗaɗa allon wayar hannu mai naɗewa. An nuna irin wannan bayani ga OPPO a CES 2021 ta TCL da LG. TCL ma ya nuna na'urar da ke kama da tsohon gungurawa, tare da buɗe nunin kamar papyrus (4).

Maganin, wanda maimakon ikon hannun ɗan adam yana buɗe allon, muna da tsarin da ke ƙara girman allo a ƙarƙashin aikin motar, alama ta fasaha ta ci gaba kuma mafi aminci. Wani fa'ida kuma shine ikon rage girman wayar a cikin sigar tushe da kuma faɗaɗa nuni kamar yadda ake buƙata. Koyaya, tsarin injina kuma yana nufin ƙarin ƙarfin amfani da makamashi, kuma matsalar baturi har yanzu ba a warware ta ba. Kamfanin TCL ya ce yana shirin kaddamar da wayar da za a iya nadawa ko kuma mai nadawa a shekarar 2021, kuma LG ya tabbatar da hakan. Farashin LG za a fara sayarwa a wannan shekara. Wanene ya sani, wannan ƙila ba shine sabon abu da muka dade muna jira ba.

4. Nunin saukarwa wanda TCL ke nunawa

Wayar hannu a matsayin mataki na haɗin kai tare da injuna

Wata rana, ba da daɗewa ba, amma tabbas da wuri fiye da yadda kuke tunani, wayoyin hannu za su ɓace gaba ɗaya. Kamar dai fax da fax a gabansu. Don bayyanawa, muna aƙalla shekaru goma daga duk wani gagarumin canje-canje a cikin amfani da wayoyin hannu. Amma Microsoft, Amazon, Facebook ko Elon Musk mataki-mataki sun riga sun kirkiro wani sabon tsari wanda ba za a sami wurin yin amfani da wayar salula ta al'ada ba.

Babu shakka cewa e wayoyin komai da ruwanka sun kasance sabbin na'urori. Sun kasance ƙanana da za su iya ɗauka a ko'ina kuma suna da ƙarfi sosai don ɗaukar adadin ayyukan yau da kullun da buƙatun nishaɗi. Duk da haka, a gaskiya, smartphone a zahiri ba kome ba ne face ƙaramin ƙirar kwamfuta tare da aikin taɓawa. Masu kera sun dade suna gwaji tare da sabbin hanyoyin mu'amala tsakanin na'ura da mai amfani. Microsoft, Facebook, Google da farkon da suke baya, Magic Leap, suna aiki don ƙirƙirar na'urorin gaskiya waɗanda ke tsaye waɗanda ke ba da hotuna a cikin girma uku a gaban idanun mai amfani. A bayyane yake, Apple kuma yana aiki akan irin wannan kayan aikin.

Alex Kipman daga Microsoft, wanda ya kirkiro gilashin HoloLens, ya ce a cikin wata hira da gidan yanar gizon Business Insider cewa haɓaka fasaha na gaskiya zai iya samun nasarar maye gurbin wayoyin hannu, TVs, duk wani abu da ke da allo. Na'urar da ke kwance a cikin aljihu ko wani nau'in tashar jirgin ruwa ba za ta kawo fa'ida sosai ba, tunda duk kira, saƙonni, sanarwa, fina-finai da wasanni ana nuna su a gaban idon mai amfani a cikin siffar hoto da aka ɗauka a kan ainihin duniya.

Masana sun ce bayan lokaci, ƙarin na'urori sun bayyana a cikin abubuwan da masana'antun ke bayarwa, kamar Masu magana da Amazon Echo ko AirPods belun kunne, zai taka muhimmiyar rawa; Misali apple mara waya belun kunne gajeriyar hanya ce ga mataimakan Siri - daga aikace-aikacen kai tsaye zuwa kunnen mai amfani, ketare wayar a matsayin kayan aiki. Mataimaka na zahiri kamar Siri, Samsung's Bixby, da kuma Amazon's Alexa da Microsoft's Cortana suna daɗa kaifin basira. Koyaya, yana ɗaukar ɗan lokaci kafin farkon sabbin fasahohi don keɓance na'urori irin su wayoyi da kwamfutoci kuma su zama masu zaman kansu gaba ɗaya.

Idan muka ƙara zuwa wannan sarrafa na'urori ta hanyar tunani, to, hangen nesa yana cike da goosebumps. Elon Musk yana jayayya cewa saboda ci gaba a fasahar fasaha ta wucin gadi, mutane za su "fadada" tunaninsu game da duniya kawai don ci gaba da amfani da kwamfutoci. Ba wai kawai yana tunanin cewa a ƙarshe za mu haɗa jikin ɗan adam, ƙwaƙwalwa, tare da kwararar bayanan dijital ta hanyar dasa shuki ba.

Daga wannan ra'ayi, wayar salula wacce muke da alaƙa da ita kuma kullun da kullun muke kallo wani mataki ne kawai na kusanci da mutane da rayuwarsu ta yau da kullun, aiki, nazari da nishaɗi tare da fasahar dijital. Shin za su maye gurbinsa? madubin gilashi kuma watakila zai kasance a matsayin "cibiyar kulawa", ba mahimmanci ba. An yi amfani da kayan a matsayin hanyar sufuri kuma filin gwajin ba zai ɓace a ko'ina ba. Zai bunkasa.