Bayanin PRO-2019

Mai ƙaddamar da THAAD yayin harbi. Tsarin da Lockheed Martin ke ba da makamai masu linzami da Raytheon AN / TPY-2 radars sun tabbatar da nasara.

tsarin tare da wasu damar fitarwa. Ƙarshen yarjejeniyar INF/INF na iya taimakawa sayar da THAAD zuwa wasu ƙasashe.

A ranar 17 ga Janairu, 2019, Ma'aikatar Tsaro ta Amurka ta buga Binciken Tsaron Makami mai linzami. Wannan budaddiyar takarda ta bayyana tsarin da gwamnatin Amurka ta dauka na kyamar siyasar da gwamnatin Shugaba Donald Trump ta dauka. Bita, ko da yake gabaɗaya, yana da ban sha'awa a cikin cewa yana ba mu damar kimanta sakamakon ci gaban tsarin rigakafin makamai masu linzami na Amurka daga mahangar shekaru ashirin. Hakanan yana tabbatar da - maimakon ba da gangan ba - ainihin niyya da zaɓin Washington a cikin tsarinta na bin yarjejeniyoyin kwance damara.

Binciken Tsaron Makami mai linzami 2019 (MDR) shima yana da ban sha'awa ga wasu da yawa, ƙananan dalilai. Idan kawai saboda ita ce takarda ta farko na wannan matsayi, wanda sabon Sakataren Tsaro na yanzu Patrick M. Shanahan ya sanya wa hannu, wanda ya maye gurbin James Mattis a watan Janairu. Duk da haka, yawancin MDR dole ne a samar da su a karkashin jagorancin magabata. Sabanin haka, rudani game da murabus ko korar James Mattis, kamar yadda mai yiwuwa mai gidan White House ke fassarawa, mai yiwuwa ya jinkirta buga MDR. A wasu wurare, maganganun game da ayyukan da aka tsara (gwaji, samarwa, da dai sauransu) a cikin 2018 suna da hankali, wanda, ko da yake ya ƙare, a cikin MDR ba su ƙunshi bayani game da aiwatar da waɗannan tsare-tsaren ba, ko akalla alamun ko akwai - ko yunƙurin gabaɗaya sun cika kwanakin ƙarshe. Kamar dai MDR tarin kayan ne na dogon lokaci.

Ba za mu mai da hankali kan batutuwan siyasa da aka ambata a farkon talifin ba. Ko da yake MDR ya cika su. A gaskiya ma, yana da ma'ana ga manufofin makamai na Amurka fiye da rahoton ci gaban tsarin. Saboda haka, mun tuna da mafi ban sha'awa muhawara da marubuta na MDR amfani.

Tsaro kuma hari ne

Ma'aikatar tsaron Amurka ta Pentagon ta ce sanarwar MDR ta dogara ne kan hasashen dabarun tsaron kasa (NDS) daga 2017 da 2018 kuma ya yi daidai da shawarwarin da aka samu daga NPR na shekarar da ta gabata. Wannan gaskiya ne. 2018 NDP har ma tana amfani da wasu bayanai game da ƙasashe huɗu waɗanda Washington ke ɗaukar abokan gaba.

An ƙirƙiri MDR 2019: […] don fuskantar barazanar makami mai linzami mai girma daga 'yan damfara da ikon sake fasalin mu, abokanmu da abokanmu, gami da ballistic, cruise da makamai masu linzami na hypersonic. Kalmomi da nahawu na wannan magana - kamar daga jawaban Comrade Wieslaw ko George W. Bush - suna da ban sha'awa da ba mu ƙi faɗin kanmu ba. A kowane hali, an rubuta dukkan MDR a cikin wannan harshe. Ko shakka babu, “jajayen jahohi” su ne Jamhuriyar Musulunci ta Iran da Jamhuriyar Dimokaradiyyar Koriya ta Arewa, sannan kuma “masu ikon sake fasalin kasa” su ne Tarayyar Rasha da Jamhuriyar Jama'ar Sin.

Amma bari mu bar harshen farfagandar siyasa, kamar yadda MDR 2019 yana da da'awar da ta fi dacewa. Mun zayyana bayyanannun harshe tun farko game da wanene shirin kariyar makami mai linzami na Amurka yake nufi—Rasha da China. 'Yan siyasar Rasha (da ma 'yan siyasar China) a karshe sun gamsu cewa wasu takardun gwamnatin Amurka sun tabbatar da zargin da suka yi na tsawon shekaru game da dalilan ficewar Amurka daga yarjejeniyar ABM na 1972. Me yasa ake musanta Washington akai-akai har ya zuwa yanzu.

Wani al'amari mai ban sha'awa na MDR shine cewa a fili ya bayyana cewa koyarwar makami mai linzami na Amurka (ko, mafi fa'ida, rigakafin makami mai linzami) ya ƙunshi sassa uku. Na farko, shi ne yin amfani da tsattsauran tsarin tsaro, waɗanda dole ne su gano tare da lalata makamai masu linzami na abokan gaba a cikin jirgin kafin su kai ga inda suke. Na biyu shi ne abin da ake kira passive Defense, wanda zai ba ku damar magance sakamakon harba makamai masu linzami na abokan gaba da suka isa Amurka (za mu tsallake wannan batu, muna magana ne kawai game da Civil Defence, wanda shine alhakin FEMA). - Hukumar Ba da Agajin Gaggawa ta Tarayya). Abu na uku na koyaswar shine a kai hari kan dabarun dabarun wadannan abokan gaba "a cikin rikici." Wannan batu kuma ba a haɓaka shi sosai a cikin WDM ba, amma ana ɗauka cewa muna magana ne game da hare-hare na al'ada da aka riga aka yi tare da arsenal ko sabbin makamai. A cikin shari'ar ta ƙarshe, muna magana ne game da abin da ake kira PGS (Babban Yajin Duniya, WiT 6/2018). Muna jaddada cewa kalmar "shugaba" ita ce fassararmu, kuma MDR ba ta tsara ta haka ba. Kamar dai yadda ba ya nufin cewa wannan wani shiri ne na makaman nukiliya. Bugu da ƙari, marubuta na MDR kai tsaye zargin Rasha irin wannan shirin - wani preemptive makaman nukiliya. Batun ra'ayin Washington game da nata tunanin soja ga Rasha ya daɗe yana ci gaba, amma za mu sake nazarin wannan hasashen a wani lokaci. Mun kawai lura cewa ra'ayin cewa yana yiwuwa a kawar da wani muhimmin bangare na dabarun thermonuclear makamai na Rasha ko Sin (misali, karkashin kasa harba makamai masu linzami ballistic) kawai tare da na al'ada makamai ne sosai kyakkyawan fata.